Article roundup

Here are some articles I read to end this week.

If ever the stock market flashed a 'sell' signal, it's now - MarketWatch
http://news.google.com
Fri, 11 Jul 2014 07:15:40 GMT

MarketWatch If ever the stock market flashed a 'sell' signal, it's nowMarketWatchMIAMI (MarketWatch) — I know what you're thinking. You're thinking: Is this market going to go up another 10%? I have no idea. But this being a powerful market that can b ...
Read more ...

Stock Market Today: Why Wells Fargo and Fastenal are on the Move - Motley Fool

http://news.google.com

Fri, 11 Jul 2014 13:26:41 GMT

Stock Market Today: Why Wells Fargo and Fastenal are on the MoveMotley FoolThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI ) has lost two points in pre-market trading, suggesting a flat start to the stock market today. World indexes rose slightly i ...

Read more ...

The Bond Rally Is Not A Good Omen For The Stock Market - Forbes
http://news.google.com Fri, 11 Jul 2014 19:48:41 GMT
The Bond Rally Is Not A Good Omen For The Stock MarketForbesBonds are also typically a safe haven in stock market declines. Their persistent rally so far this year is not a good omen for the stock market as it approaches August. As the Stock Trader's ...
Read more ...

Stock market volatility could remain elevated - CNBC.com
http://news.google.com Fri, 11 Jul 2014 04:40:09 GMT
CNBC.comStock market volatility could remain elevatedCNBC.comStock market volatility could continue to be somewhat elevated, particularly for small cap names, as earnings season gets underway. Earnings season is seen as the next catalyst for the mark ...
Read more ...

US stocks finish with small gains, trim weekly losses - MarketWatch
http://news.google.com Fri, 11 Jul 2014 20:18:11 GMT
Economic TimesUS stocks finish with small gains, trim weekly lossesMarketWatchNEW YORK (MarketWatch)—The U.S. stock market closed higher on Friday after the main benchmarks picked up steam in late afternoon, trimming weekly losses. The S&P 500 (SNC:S ...
Read more ...

CREDIT SUISSE: This Is What The World Stock Market Will Look Like In 2030 - Business Insider
http://news.google.com Fri, 11 Jul 2014 13:51:18 GMT
Business InsiderCREDIT SUISSE: This Is What The World Stock Market Will Look Like In 2030Business InsiderBy 2030, Credit Suisse expects the global stock market to balloon to $284.2 trillion and look like what you see below. According to the World Fed ...
Read more ...

The stock picker's market

Isn't it always a stock pickers market?  I mean I guess there are times when you can just throw darts, that's how the super guru made his loot!

Hedge funds: It's a stock-pickers market - CNBC.com
http://news.google.com Thu, 20 Mar 2014 15:59:33 GMT
CNBC.comHedge funds: It's a stock-pickers marketCNBC.comHedge fund managers say there's still plenty of money yet to be made in the stock market—it's just a matter of picking the right companies. "We believe almost every sector has some alpha opportu ...
Read more ...

Start paying attention to these factors

How to Spot a Fading Stock Market Rally - Uncommon Wisdom Daily

http://news.google.com Thu, 24 Oct 2013 12:45:13 GMT

Uncommon Wisdom DailyHow to Spot a Fading Stock Market RallyUncommon Wisdom DailyLast week we reviewed the state of the equity market through the advance/decline lines. At that time, the daily advance/decline lines looked strong and now the weekly ad ...

Ahh technology

Investing: Get used to stock trading snafus - Tulsa World

http://news.google.com

Mon, 21 Oct 2013 08:41:24 GMT

 

Investing: Get used to stock trading snafusTulsa WorldAs if investors didn't have plenty to worry about already, technology-driven trading snafus are starting to add up for the nation's stock markets. Nasdaq's recent three-hour shutdown, due to a sof ...

I tihnk we have higher prices to be seen. Its always good to look at the other side as well..

ROSENBERG: Here Are 5 Concerns Nagging The Stock Market - Business Insider

http://news.google.com

Sun, 20 Oct 2013 18:38:19 GMT

   

Business InsiderROSENBERG: Here Are 5 Concerns Nagging The Stock MarketBusiness InsiderA negative from a contrary standpoint and attests to how  fully committed  the investing public is right now to the stock market. Fundamentals: Likely owing much t ...

  

Debt Ceiling Dates

Debt Ceiling Dates, Explained - Washington Wire - WSJ
http://blogs.wsj.comWed, 25 Sep 2013 20:09:38 GMT
A calendar of the fiscal deadlines facing the White House and Congress.

I guess the short list that was touted as a "Sure thing" by the super guru needs a rework. hey its an opportunity to scam a whole new bunch of victims now!

Stock market sets record after Fed keeps stimulus - Philly.com
http://news.google.comWed, 18 Sep 2013 21:15:03 GMT
abc11.comStock market sets record after Fed keeps stimulusPhilly.comtelevision monitor on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shows the decision of the Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Sept. 18, 2013. The Federal Reserve has decided against reducing ...

Market video for the week of August 26th, 2013

50 day moving average talk

As I've said many times, EVERYONE looks at the 50 day moving average, even if they hate technical analysis.  It's considered the intermediate term line in the sand, and needs to be respected.  You want to know what everyone is looking at, and you want to look at it too.

Stock Market 50-Day Moving Average - Business Insider
http://www.businessinsider.comFri, 16 Aug 2013 11:51:00 GMT
The stock market has been experiencing a heightened level of volatility. The S&P 500 closed at 1,661 yesterday, down 1.4%. And the all-time closing high of 1,709 two weeks ago is just getting farther away. The chart watchers ...

Market video for the week of August 12th, 2013

Various thoughts on the correction...

Stock markets at a crossroads after sell-off - Financial Times

http://news.google.com

The Week MagazineStock markets at a crossroads after sell-offFinancial TimesIf past trends are any guide, moves by the Federal Reserve to taper or terminate its quantitative easing programme could trigger a significant stock market correction that is ...

Correction is contained on stock market - Kathimerini

http://news.google.com

KathimeriniCorrection is contained on stock marketKathimeriniA late push led by Coca-Cola HBC contained the significant losses incurred by most blue chips during Monday's session on the Athens bourse, as investors sought to cash in on last week's gai ...

A Stock Market Correction Will Yield Trading Opportunities ...

http://www.istockanalyst.com5/21/13

We have seen a big rally in U.S. stocks and that is what we are seeing still yet! With all the whining and crying and doomsday scenario gurus are selling with their newsletters, the markets have risen to new all-time highs.

It's that time of the year...

Is it that simple?  Of course not, but its still a trend that demands respect.  If you look back at the historical results of a simple system, it does have a positive expectation.  

Sell In May, But Don't Go Away - Seeking Alpha
http://news.google.com
Sell In May, But Don't Go AwaySeeking AlphaThe Trader's Almanac and traditional investment philosophy will tell you to "Sell in May and Go Away". Based on Historical measures markets weaken after May and through the Summer, so making money becomes mo ...

Sell in May and go away? Not if you're Goldman Sachs - MarketWatch (blog)
http://news.google.com
Sell in May and go away? Not if you're Goldman SachsMarketWatch (blog)“Sell in May and go away” season is nearly upon investors. Such strategies (also refer to the Halloween indicator) advises selling stocks in May and keeping the proceeds in cash, t ...

You can see this from the way the VIX moves

When the $VIX starts to pop to multi-week/month highs, especially after being compressed for so long as we've seen, it's a sign that there isn't just fear, but usually panic.  It never ceases to amaze me how everyone can be so complacent for so long and then all of a sudden run around screaming that the sky is falling.

Corrections are healthy in the market, Bull or Bear.  They let those that missed the first move get in, and those that are already in get a better add to price. Of course, a correction can lead to a top, but it's way too aggressive to guess at that being the case after only a few days of weakness.

Remember, the public is usually wrong.

Investor fear on the rise - CNNMoney
news.google.com
Investor fear on the riseCNNMoney"It was the worst possible outcome, feared by market participants and European policy-makers alike," said Daiwa Capital Markets European economist Tobias Blattner. U.S. stocks spiraled downward in a late-day frenzied ...

This is a pretty good article

This is a pretty good article on understanding the stock market.  As you should know by reading any of my posts, I am mostly a technical trader.  However, as the years have passed me buy, I do now look at some fundamental factors, but I never decide based on that alone.

This isn't really an article on fundamental analysis, I was more trying to make the point that its good to look at other factors rather than just be pigeon holed into one way of seeing things.

The 12 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market - Seeking Alpha
news.google.com
The 12 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock MarketSeeking AlphaThe Stock Market Is a Market. Let's start with the obvious. The stock market is made up of people. People make mistakes. People have biases. Some people are greedy; some people ar ...

Video tomorrow, but for now...

I do not think the highs are in

I still think we test up again, and then we measure the divergences, if they appear, which I believe there is a very good chance of.

tiny

Gartman makes his stand

I would consider Dennis Gartman a super guru, but not that kind of super guru (the scam artists I often refer to).  Gartman is well respected by many, and loathed by some too.  Why? because he makes statements that most don't understand.  this one wasn't one of those times.  He was Bearish and nailed this. 

Whether he caught the top or not isn't the point.  He made a stand, and on the short term, was correct. Does he stay that way?  We'll know soon.

In the meantime, good job sir.

Business Insider - MARKET GURU YELLS 'SELL - ' Should You - Business Insider
http://www.businessinsider.com/
A popular stock market guru, Dennis Gartman, made a black and white call earlier this week, telling subscribers to his market newsletter that he was selling his stocks and rushing to the sidelines.

Time To Quit Stock Trading?

Lately I've gotten some emails from traders regarding frustrations with their stock trading. Just when it was looking like we were going to rip it higher, Osama Bin Coward had justice delivered upon him, and we pulled back for several weeks. Then, just when it looked like we were going to break down, the market got a nice bounce, likely fueled by super deluxe short lists and my super secret indicator, as well as negative sentiment. We quickly got overbought, but rather than get a retest down, we squeezed and knocked the Bear's teeth down their throat.

So, is it time to quit stock trading? Despite what some will tell you, the market doesn't follow an exact script. That's why it's important to put the work in every single day, and follow a routine. This way, no matter what curve ball the stock market throws at you, at least you have a plan.

I hate to harp on it, but developing a trading plan and keeping the discipline are so important, much more important than any custom indicator or black box algorithm.

In the end, only you can decide if you should continue stock trading. Just keep in mind that if you are going to keep trading and just choose another financial market thinking that's the answer, every market will need the same discipline and trading plan. There are no shortcuts. If it were a easy as the super gurus say, then NO ONE would make any money.

Michael "tiny" Saul