Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List for Thursday, December 1st, 2011

S&P 500 Video for Thursday, December 1st, 2011

Bulls On Parade - Rage Against The Machine

Afternoon ROMPer room or chop?

The market has been holding up very well since it's giant gap up, but after taking out the first hour;s highs into 11AM, we've been chopping it to the downside, although still up 37 points and I am typing this.

I'd like to see a push to the downside to see if the Bulls step in. As of right now, that would be the best place for a wholesale entry, but no guarantee that we get that kind of move.

I'm watching for the support zone to start at 1230 and end at low of day.

Strong breadth says for now, shorts are scalps and anti-trend.


Don't be a SUCKA!

Don't pay a crazy amount of money for a class on the January Effects with picks stolen from other services such as

They get your information and give it out to their "sales team" (who they disavow when anyone complains) and they harass you non stop to use your HELOC or multiple credit cards to pay for coaching that costs as much as a car. they humiliate you by making you feel that you are not trying your best to succeed. The sales pitch is hysterical, but rest assured they are pros and know what buttons to push. They then put the victims in a group that is being taught not by the super guru that referred you, but a bunch of $12/hour lackeys.


I'll be giving a free class on the January Effects, details will be released shortly. Yes, I'll talk about what I offer, but you won't get called 4 times a day and told that you are a moron for not signing up.


Monster gap up

I will be watching for a fading op

we have a cycle up here pre market, so either waiting for that to turn, or looking for another entry to grab.


S&P Video for Wednesday, November 30th, 2011

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

S&P video

The S&P video for Wednesday will be done in the morning before the market open.

With the ever changing situation in Europe and the S&P downgrades of 37 banks after the close on Tuesday, I want to see how the market trades overnight.


Stock Market Trading Watch List For Wednesday, November 30th, 2011

Will the Bulls give it a shot into the close?

A relatively narrow range day as we digest yesterday's big move.

Breadth is flat, and we have not been able to get near the first hours range high this afternoon, but we could see some squeeze action of they decide to put the pedal down and run some buy programs.

If not, look for a retracement back to 1195.50


A quick look at the market

We ran into resistance at the 78.6% retracement of the swing down off the overnight highs to the early low and got a small pullback, but now we are assaulting the highs once again.

1206 is the next upside level to watch if we get above high of day.


Nice spike

Nice spike off the numbers here and after a rest, we are headed back to the highs.

1202.50 resistance if we can get above high of day


And here we go....

It wasn't a big gap, so I was likely passing anyway, but my platform froze up which made my decision easy for me!

We are smack in the middle of the overnight range, and may just decide to digest yesterday's big move by staying within it.

breadth is ok at +500, but no big deal, yet.


Monday, November 28, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Tuesday, November 29th, 2011

S&P 500 Video for Tuesday, November 29th, 2011

Will the Bulls step it up in the afternoon?

Just back from lunch. A new buffet opened. I can't talk about eating too much, I was sued once for 35 million or so because of that!

Anyway, breadth has lightened up a little bit, but it's still > +2k

We got a nice test of the support zone I mentioned previously, but couldn't get below 88.75 for more than a tick. As I said earlier, we will have to get (and stick) below that in order to see some decent downside action.



The net change on the day doesn't reflect how brutal the market action is

Choppy, sloppy mess here as we start lunch.


The RENN scumbags

Apparently, some people think I was talking about only one scumbag that super hyped RENN.

There were at least a dozen people that provided super hype on RENN. Do a Google search and check it out, because some still had the balls to keep it on their sites, even though they pretended like they never said anything and never admitted they were wrong. This includes some people at some big sites, as well as some that are not that big, but people still follow them, and make bad decisions based on their recommendations, no matter what they say. After all, they wouldn't be hyping it if they didn't want people to follow them, would they?

When RENN was set to start trading, it was being pushed as the Facebook of China. So many of these scoundrels own Facebook through private offerings, and they are hoping to super hype the crap out of anything that has to do with social media so that they can cash out in Facebook either in the secondary market or when it finally IPOs.

I don't have any issue with these scoundrels being wrong. I'm wrong all the time! The difference is I don't try to cover it up, or pretend I never said what I did. that's beyond despicable, its disingenuous, duplicitous, and a few more words I can throw in to make myself seem smart!

REFUSE TO BE SCAMMED! DO your research and see for yourself what I am talking about. These scoundrels should disclose their private share holdings and why they are so fast to push brand new IPOs that have no price history to base trades off of.

It may seem like ancient history, but there will be plenty of opportunities coming up for these scumbags to push their agendas. Don't believe the hype.


First hour is in

Breadth is very strong, and momentum favors more upside.

We are short term overbought, which is what happens when you are up 3+% in the first hour, but that doesn't mean we can't go higher, be very careful on the short side with these internals.

Basis the S&P Futures:







Volume the best since last Tuesday

So far, not even a 10 point live range though, but it looks like it's coming soon to a theater near you!


Is that all she wrote for the dip?

We actually got a 2 point dip before hitting new highs! Woo hooo!!!!!

Is that all she wrote? Breadth is screaming, do we try for 1200 today?

We are still in the first 30, so we can continue to see see some back and forth before the market decides what it wants to do here


Big gap up

Looking for a fading op here.

May not get far, but a 35 point gap and go without even a little dip? Absolutely possible, but not probable


Saturday, November 26, 2011

Disgraceful Super Gurus

RENN opened for trading on May 4th at 15.01 as per Tradestation. Some people may have a different level as their opening price.

As of Friday, the stock was trading at $3.71.

There were certain super-gurus who not just gave a recommendation on this stock, but super hyped the living crap out of it. they likely destroyed many people who follow them.

You could blame the followers as being blind sheep, but is that really fair? The way these super gurus hype themselves, fabricate results and humiliate you by making it seem like you are missing the BIG moves. You sure are! the big DOWNSIDE moves of their recommended longs.

Not a word of apology from these scumbags, and that's what drives me up the wall. They act like they are never wrong, and they delete these recommendations from their websites, Facebook pages and Twitter streams. Frauds like no other!

REFUSE TO BE A VICTIM ANY LONGER! Show these scumbags how you feel by acting with your wallet. Do not support their luxury lifestyles any longer. Make them apologize for when they are very very very very wrong.


S&P 500 video for Monday, November 28th, 2011

Friday, November 25, 2011

So much for that "trend"

Looks like the super gurus will be raising rates again soon, as their "we always go up the day after Thanksgiving" trend gets smacked

Don't feel bad for them, they will have a new scam whipped up in no time


Don't give it much weight

Nice 10 point+ push up here in the first 40 minutes

Tough to fade this with light volume, and breadth is strong + almost 1600

Gold, Silver and Oil are also trading higher, but nothing big yet.

Banks and Brokers dong ok, but more of an oversold bounce than anything. Check out the moves in GS and BAC

AMZN not participating here, and AAPL is barely making a dent

As I said in the videos, you can't put much weight in what happens on a day like today, the pros are taking 4 day weekends, this is a light volume, oversold lift.


No real gap

No gap for a fade, so will look for the fist setup off an early move


Thursday, November 24, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Friday, November 25th, 2011

S&P video for Friday,November 25th, 2011

Happy Thanksgiving Everyone!

I just want to wish everyone a Happy Thanksgiving.

I have many reasons to be thankful, but here are my top 3:

1) My family is spending the holiday with us at casa de tiny. My wife has been cooking since 6AM and it smells amazing.

2) I've found a new home to do my Sunday night strategy sessions, mentoring and stock and market timing newsletter from. Details very soon. The Sunday night sessions start December 4th.

3) I'm free from the manipulation and abuse of the craziest person the universe has ever seen(you know they are crazy when they use the word crazy people describing everyone else). This filthbag would try to cram his way into my Thanksgiving meal every year, and I had to lie about having it somewhere else, just so he wouldn't show up at my house uninvited. This is a scumbag who had children just to leverage his family, because his family hates him more than anyone else, but now have to deal with him because he has kids. His children are just a tool used for his manipulation of others and the way he treats them proves that. One day, when they are old enough to understand what kind of person he is, they will free themselves from his manipulation and abuse as well.

Have a great Thanksgiving.


Wednesday, November 23, 2011


Some support here at 1170.50 from some overnight lows, but we are surely not in a rush to jump higher


Gap down

Overnight session had some range to it, but we formed a nice range for the last few hours of it.

I'm watching for a fading op, but would like to see a push down first


Monday, November 21, 2011

S&P video for Tuesday

OK, I screwed up on Monday's video. I got into my office just in time to do my interview, and by the time it was over it was after the opening bell.


I will do a video Tuesday AM, probably close to the open, so check back then. There's so much volatility and range overnight, it just makes the best sense to do it this way for now.


Stock Market Trading Watch List For Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

I just did an interview

I just did an interview with Mike Swanson. You can check it out here


watching and waiting

Sharp gap down, and the cash S&P 500 is now below its 50 day moving average, joining the futures.

Breadth is horrid at -2330, so the upside will be limited, FOR NOW.

Watching this current bounce to see if it stalls out and retests the lows with a divergence.


Sunday, November 20, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Monday, November 21st, 2011

S&P Video

Will be posted in the AM. I want to see what we do overnight as we are at key support on the daily chart.

The stock market trading watch list will be posted shortly


Saturday, November 19, 2011


Don't fall for expensive January Effects lists from super gurus with guarantees that won't be honored.

The super gurus STEAL the picks from other services, make up fake returns based on fantasy, and then tell you that it is "easy" to make money.


They will make excuses and shame you into believing that you didn't play the picks correctly, and they will NEVER honor the guarantee. OR it will be a false guarantee, such as offers to give you another service. This means that these scam artists get your money and don't give it back, PERIOD!



If you do sign up, and learn the hard way, report these scoundrels to the FTC and SEC immediately for pump and dumping and false advertising.


Thursday, November 17, 2011

S&P video

Will be posted in the AM. I want to see what happens over night


Stock Market Trading Watch List For Friday, November 18th, 2011

50 day moving average

Im watching the 50 day moving average on the SPY and S&P Futures (day only session) for support.

I dont use the levels as exact buy points, but rather, as reference levels. Depending on how we trade into them makes my decision on how to use them.


IF IF IF.....

If breadth improves, look for a try for the highs

Right now its -600s but getting better


Early push down

We got an early push down off the open, and I guess it's considered a gap fill, but not for me, as it wasn't big enough to even be called a gap in my opinion.

We did have some exhaustive selling, but nothing

We have very short term support here, but bigger support comes in at 24.75. trade above 32 would reverse the opening move

All levels basis the S&P Futures


Another 20+ point overnight range

No real gap here, so I;m on the sidelines at least off the opening


Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Thursday, November 17th, 2011

S&P 500 video for Thursday, November 17th, 2011

Big Gap down

A wild overnight session, just over 20 points wide leaves us with a current gap down of double digits.

There's still 7 minutes left before the open, and it's possible we pop before the bell, but as of now, it appears we will have a nice size gap down.

I'll be looking to fade the gap after confirmation.


Tuesday, November 15, 2011

No Stock market Watch List video for Wednesday

Just getting home from a meeting, not much to say here except the triangles on the S&P and Russell are still forming, and I;m waiting for confirmation.

As Im typing this at 1:15 AM, the Futures are getting hit, down 14.50. We'll see where they are in 8 hours


S&P 500 video for Wednesday, November 16th 2011


There is an important level at 1263 to watch. Its the 78.6% retracment of the high from Sunday to today's lows. Obviously, since I said Sunday, it's using all sessions data.



There's been a lot of hype around some super gurus and how they "nailed" 1080 as the lows of the correction.

1080 was a Fib number, I had been talking about it since we got the first bounce in August relative to the SPY at 108.84.

Briefing Trader, the favorite subscription service for most super gurus to steal from, while claiming the plays are their own (they've been caught many times doing it) was talking about 1080 for a bit prior to the low as well.

Think about it: How could super gurus that claim technical analysis doesn't work pick a techncial level as a low?


Don't believe the hype! It will only wind up costing you some serious money as the super gurus pick your pockets with over hyped under delivered lists, classes and memberships.

FREE January Effects class to be announced soon. You don't have to fall for the oldest scam in the book, someone regurgitating someone else's picks while giving a half assed guarantee that they never honor.



41.75 a ROCK!

Wish I could say "I knew it" like the super gurus do, but it was just a solid support level based on a Fibonacci level that led to a nice pop here.

Starting to stall out here, so if it catches a bid, high of day would be the target.

If not, look for a retrace back down to the lows here.


Target hit

1241.75 hit

Next level to watch is 1238 area the 20 EMA On the daily chart basis the S&P Futures


Market update

Breadth is off it's lows, but still -900s currently

We've held within the first half hour's range so far, but we are far from strong.

There's a small double top up at 53.25. If it gets taken out, there could be a quick run to yesterday's highs, but its a long way to go here.

If the lows of day are taken out, look for a move towards 41.75 as first support.

$TICK is trying to diverge here, but we are swimming against the breadth here.



Fade worked off the open, but I got cute and shorted, had a quick target but my platform froze and when it finally unfroze it was tipping my stop instead

The price of technology huh?

Resistance is right here, let's see what the market does with it


Gap down

As I am typing this out just before the opening bell, we are sitting at around the 50% of the overnight range.

Ill be watching this gap down for a fade

Overnight lows tested the area of the day session 20 EMA and the lower triangle trendline


Monday, November 14, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Tuesday, November 15th, 2011

S&P 500 Video for 11/15/11

Beware the super guru hype!

Do not fall for the January Effect hype by certain super gurus who tell you it is the only play to ever take!

These frauds con you into thinking if you don't pay their extortion like fees, you will not make any money trading. They even lie and say this can make your whole year! the truth is, the only year it makes is theirs with the hyped up membership fees! If it was so great, why don't they have thousands upon thousands of people each year in their class? Duh!

They steal the plays form other services and then pass them off as their own. Shut these crooks down! Refuse to support these scam artists!

I'll be giving a free class, and you are all welcome to be there. Details to follow shortly.


Not loking so nice

Looks like we want that daily 20 period exponential moving average

Tide will have to turn soon if we are going to get a reversal, but as of now, internals and price action still favor lower

Gap fill

Gap fill from Friday has occurred, now lets see if the Bulls can defend, or if we are headed for the daily 20EMA


Gap down

Watching for this to fade, but I'd rather see a test of the overnights first.

May or may not get it, but that's what I'm watching for, at least for now.


Sunday, November 13, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Monday, November 14th, 2011

S&P 500 video for Monday, November 14th, 2011


The super hype will begin shortly regarding the January Effects trend.

DO NOT pay extortion like fees to have someone regurgitate other people's lists and front run and pump and dump you.

As usual, I will be giving a FREE class, stay tuned for details.


Justin Timberlake is a stand up guy

Justin Timberlake went to the USMC Ball last night, as he said he would many months ago.

It probably wasn't that hard of a decision, she's hot and after all, a hero to the United States for her service.

The fact that he stood by his word and didn't try to weasel out of it, makes him a stand up guy.


Friday, November 11, 2011

Where I will be wrong

In my videos last night, I said that I thought we would complete the ABC down to the level of the 50 day moving average.

Despite today's rip to the upside, I still hold out that the ABC is a possibility to be completed, but only if we hold below the 78.6% retracement shown above on a CLOSING basis.

If we close above that level, then I flip back to the next level to watch being the 78.6% of the years range, up a little bit past the last swing highs.

If NOT, then I'll still keep that ABC target as a possibility.

I've gotten and stayed Bullish since the Follow Through Day, but that doesn't mean we can't ebb and flow here as we make up our minds on the short term.

This has been the market of broken necks, as the whipsaws make it very hard to swing trade despite what the super gurus claim.


Should be close to a high here

THIS IS NOT a short signal, but first hour's range is now in, and we should hold within it by a few ticks

Don't see a gap and go all day type model for the day especially with the low volume

If I'm wrong, then we can see 1271 on a continued push

These numbers are basis the S&P futures


Not surprising

Light volume not surprising here



Resistance is 1255 basis the S&P Futures

So far we are running with the Bulls here early on


Different day, same story

Nice fat gap up here.

I'll be watching for a gap fade

1249.25 and 1244 are key levels for the S&P Futures on the downside.


Happy Veterans Day

Thank you to all the Veterans that protected my family's freedom throughout the years. You are not given enough recognition.

You are the true Heroes in this world.


Thursday, November 10, 2011

S&P 500 video for 11-11-11

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Friday, November 11th, 2011

Finally had one

Surprising as it sounds, I have never had a McRib. I got one without onions today, and it was just fabulous. Of course, there was sauce everywhere as my friend warned me there would be, but still, just freaking awesome.


Iron Maiden - The Rime of the Ancient Mariner Full Length


From yesterday video, WTW is working nicely. It gave us the breach of the 50 day and remount entry and now up a few points off that


Faded, and now?

The fade worked nicely, and now we are getting the first decent correction from the initial move lower. We fell a little shy of the lows from yesterday, but they can still be watched as a target. If we do head back down there, I would watch for a break of them, and then a reversal back above. As of right NOW, it doesn't look like we will get downside continuation on a break of the lows. This of course, can change quickly, but breadth is +700s which while not overwhelmingly, is still bullish and nowhere near bearish.

Wait and see mode for the time being as we digest the early action.


Big gap up for Thursday

I will be looking for a shorting op off the open for a reversion move back down.

I will likely be waiting for a cycle turn down, but I may jump in early if a signal sets up.


Wednesday, November 9, 2011

S&P 500 video for 11-10-11

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Thursday, November 10th, 2011

Jefferson County To File Chapter 9

The start of a trend?


Learn To Profit From Stock Market Trends

Air holed

As I said in the last post, all that movement was just a correction in a downtrend. new lows showed that to be the correct analysis.

We are short term oversold here, and Im looking for one more turn down for a short term low here. By short term, it could be anywhere from a few minutes to low of day


Not out of the woods yet

A nice pop off the lows, turbo boosted by some Europe news, but we quickly have moved to short term overbought

Breadth still stinks, volume is tracking higher, and the VIX is up almost 14%

We are not out of the woods yet here, so far it's a correction in a downtrend for the day



Support levels:

S&P Futures: overnight lows at 1237

S&P Cash: 20 EMA at 1245 (and change)

SPY: 20 EMA at 123.96

Moving averages will change, so these are reference numbers for now


Opening Breadth

Opening breadth is nasty, but we are trying to fade this


Gap down

Big gap down, watching for a fade.

Looking for overnight lows


Monday, November 7, 2011

S&P 500 video for Tuesday, November 8th, 2011

No Stock Market Trading Watch List For Tuesday

Not much went on Monday, so no new list.

Uploading the S&P video now


QCOR- Dynamite Triangle


Friday's lows

Friday's lows are now the 1st target of this move


Out for the morning

Ill be in around lunchtime, so the blog will be dark until then.

I would be watching this gap down for a fading op, but like I said, I wont be around.

Have a great trading day


Friday, November 4, 2011


Another spectacular super guru trade, and this was touted by many and panned by only a few.

I had no opinion, which makes me a wimp I guess, but how do you trade IPOs on the first day without any price history to base your decisions?

Your gut? Your dreams?

Leave that to others


Time for the gap fade?

We just hit a new high here as we end lunchtime.

A bit late for a gap fade, but it looks like that's what we are finally trying to do

Now looking for a gap fill, but will need a pullback/pause to get on board



Hope no one got hurt too bad buying the gap down off the Super guru's call of "easy buy", although now of course, hes denying he said it, using excuses like you have to ride it out, use stops, etc.

If you looked at their accounts, you'd see they are buried, ad not listening to their own advice

Well, of course not.

"Do as I say not as I do!" is the motto of these cretins

Wait for confirmation, or dont bother with these fades folks, you can get cut to pieces


Gap down

Looking for a push lower for a buying op, although a buy off the open was good for a scalp.


Not a big gap, but..

Not a giant gap off the Job numbers, at least so far, but enough to qualify to watch for a fade

If that changes in the next 20 minutes, Ill put up a new post, but as of now, I'm watching for a fade


Thursday, November 3, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List for Friday, November 4th, 2011

S&P 500 video for 11-4-11

late start? No an early one!

Was up nice and early to get my wife's car fixed and inspected. Done!

Well worth missing this textbook fade right?

Anyway, I wont complain too much, and instead, look at the market.

Early push down found Fibonacci support, and we are now moving up towards short term resistance at 1246.50 basis the S&P Futures. Already stalling out, so not quite sure we make it that far

Breadth is nothing special at +800s, but certainly not bearish here and now.

We could see us die down ahead of the Job Numbers due out tomorrow morning, but for now we have a nice travel range.


Wednesday, November 2, 2011

S&P Video for Thursday, November 3rd, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List For Thursday, November 3rd, 2011


Breadth is +1800s here it will be very tough to see much downside with this reading


OK, I could be dumber

I could be dumber but that would take some effort on my part!

I had no idea they moved the announcement to 12:30, but it wouldn't have mattered if I did because I am usually done by 11AM on fed days, and today it was much earlier.

That's what I get for nowt watching the tube during the day!


Quick look

Gap gets filled finally, but not until after new highs are seen.

2:15 FOMC announcement , I'm on the sidelines until after that.


FOMC Wednesday

Getting a nice enough gap to look for a fade, so will stalk it off the open.

FOMC announcement days do have a Bullish tendency, so I won;t overstay my welcome if they decide to keep it juiced.


Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Stock Market Trading Watch List for Wednesday, November 2nd, 2011

S&P 500 Video for 11/2/11

No bounce into the FOMC

FOMC meeting started today, with the announcement due tomorrow.

The super gurus must be sucking wind, although I'm sure they were short and holding all day!

Or at least they will spin it that way, but if their lips are moving, they are lying. Or better yet: if they are posting it somewhere, they are lying.


DON'T PAY A DIME FOR A CLASS ON HOW TO WATCH TV! They will give your name to an outfit out west to hard guilt sell you on over hyped coaching that they dont even participate in!


Contact me at: tiny at stockmarkettrendsx dot com


Watching 1215 again

Will 1215 hold again?


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So far, a pretty nice fade

So far, after some initial selling, we have gotten a nice gap fade retracement move.

Breadth still stinks, but there have been some short term buy programs hitting as evidenced by the $TICK.

We are moving into short term resistance, but how well that holds will be the big question. The move has to be tired at that point, but that isn't enough to use as a trigger.


ISM at 10

Maybe we get a retest of lows and I can get a fade entry



Huge gap down

Will be watching this gap for a fade, but would prefwer it after a retest to overnight lows